Saturday, 14 January 2012

Plan B Bites The Dust.


Humble Pie is not a dish normally associated with the shadow chancellor. Ed "I caused the problem so I know how to fix it" Balls has finally had to eat a HUGE portion and admit that there is no Plan B for the economy and that George Osborne got it exactly right after all.
It must have been excruciatingly painful for the Labour bruiser to admit that he had been wrong after 2 years of treating us all like fools with his "too far too fast mantra" and insisting that the best way out of debt is to borrow more! In an interview with the Guardian and in a speech to the Fabian Society today, Balls is now stating that an incoming Labour government would have to stick with George Osborne's plan for deficit reduction and that they would not be reversing any of the tax increases or spending cuts that have been introduced. So 10 years after the Labour party divorced Prudence and went on a spending spree, they have now wedded themselves to TINA (There Is No Alternative).

This is potentially a watershed moment for the Labour party, they have a leader in Ed "the geek" Miliband
who is hanging on to his leadership by his finger nails, the latest betting is now only even money that he will still be leader at the end of the year, his own policy guru has described his leadership as having "no strategy, no narrative and little energy", and now their financial sage has had to admit that he has been wrong on just about every issue. They find themselves behind in the polls at a time when they should be miles ahead, with Miliband especially now suffering the ultimate insult in being rated behind Nick Clegg by the public, how much lower has he to sink before the long knives come out I wonder.

David Cameron must wake up every morning and thank his stars that he is up against a team that make the Marx Brothers look competent.

Le Downgrade Est Arrivé

If further evidence is required that our current economic policies are the correct path to follow, we only have to look across the murky waters of the English Channel. Late last evening one of the three major rating agencies, Standard and Poore downgraded the credit rating of many of the countries in the Eurozone including France. France is one of the founder members of the EU and their financial might is seen as the key to the rescue packages offered to Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal etc etc in a vain attempt to save the Euro.

France has a much bigger debt problem than we do, currently their debt is over 90% of GDP and the rating agencies have been saying for a long time that the government have not taken the tough decisions required to get this debt under control, the French gave a typical Gallic shrug and ignored the demands, from now on their borrowing costs will go up as a result. For comparison, the UK last week sold 10 year bonds at 1.03% interest, not even enough to keep up with inflation, while France struggled to sell it's bonds at 3.5%, a rate that is bound to go up as a result of last nights decision. Furthermore it is now very doubtful that the Euro rescue package, backed by the French government, will be able to go ahead, as the whole thing depended on both France and Germany maintaining their AAA status, Frau Merckel is not going to be pleased!

Get in the lifeboat guys, the Euro is sinking fast.

Best joke of the weekend from parlez-me-n-tory , a conservative blogger and tweeter from Frome.
Q What is missing from this:  S*RKOZY   teeheehee








Thursday, 5 January 2012

Death and Council Tax

In 1817 Benjamin Franklin re-used a previous quote originally written by Daniel Defoe and said  "In this world nothing can be said to be certain, except death and taxes."

Many things have changed since 1817, but death and taxes have certainly survived!!

This week saw Shepton Mallet Town Councils annual fist fight over the budget and precept, to be fair, this time things were dealt with fairly amicably and entirely predictably, more of this later. The whole process set me thinking as how it is possible that a small group of people, from a small town in Somerset, with, well lets be charitable, honest intentions for the good burghers of the town, can have such wide ranging views on just about everything!

On a National level we are all pretty accustomed to the differences between the major parties, Labour spend, spend and spend some more until as Liam Byrne said "there's no money left", the Conservatives come along after Labour and sort out the mess left behind, and the Lib Dems, well what can I say, basically have no idea at all, and need to be kept locked up in a darkened room without a key.

We have seen what the Lib Dems do when let out of their box, at Somerset County Council they increased the debt from £15 million to £347 million in less than 10 years, while at the same time increasing Council Tax every year, and by over 60% during one notorious 4 year period. Luckily the electorate called time on their disastrous tenure in 2009, but not before they had destroyed the county's finances for a generation or more.

The Lib Dems in Frome, similarly racked up the tax year on year to the point where Frome is now by far the most expensive place to live in Mendip, the Town Council's precept is rapidly approaching the same level as the District Council. There was never any attempt to control spending, just the inner arrogant belief that they know best how to spend your money. The Lib Dems in Frome have now been superseded by the IFF's, a rag tag bunch of Independents who have formed a party to run the council. (Independents forming a party, how does that work then!!!!!). The IFF's have just announced that they are going to put the Town Council precept up by 23% this year, no that's not a misprint twenty three percent increase at a time when families are seeing their budgets squeezed from all directions, I bet the voters in Frome are delighted that they voted for the very iffy IFF's now!

So lets compare and contrast the Conservatives to our Labour and Lib Dem opponents, Labour more or less bankrupted the country and were spending more than they were receiving in tax even at the height of the boom, when finally McBroon had to admit that he hadn't ended boom and bust after all, it was all much too late to put the spending genie back in the bottle, hence the dire mess Cameron and Osborne inherited.

The Conservatives at Somerset County Council have had to take much more difficult decisions thanks to the legacy left behind by the Yellow Peril, where servicing their huge debt is a major part of the budget, and spending on debt repayment is money that can't be used to support libraries, youth services, road repairs or anything else that everyone cares about.

Spot the difference at Shepton Mallet Town Council, under Conservative control since 2007, the Town Council finances are, or at least were sound, we had seen a period of 4 years where the precept had not been increased at all, and where at the same time the councils reserves, money put aside to help to smooth out the inevitable peaks and troughs in spending, had been steadily increased. The situation at the moment is that we are still working within the budget introduced by the last Conservative administration, and it is predicted that at the end of the current financial year the council will have just over £45,000 in reserves, enough, if spent wisely, to cover any increases in council tax for the next 3 or 4 years.

However, the electorate, in their wisdom, decided not to give the Conservatives a majority on the Town Council at the last election, and as a result we have 6 conservatives, 5 Lib Dems, 4 Independents and a solitary Labour councillor. During the last 8 months or so the unholy alliance of Lib Dems, a couple of Independents and the lone Labour supporter has decided to tear up the blueprint left behind by the Conservatives and to embark on a spending splurge worthy of Gordon Brown at his most profligate.

The budget proposed on Tuesday evening sought to increase the precept by 3% as well as spending £39000 of the £45000 reserves IN ONE YEAR. All the hard work put in for years by the Conservatives to balance the books, blown in one go by people who appear to have no idea how to run a business.

The Conservatives managed to head off some of the increase in spending by forcing through a vote to reduce the budget by £10,000, however, we are merely delaying the inevitable tax increases that will have to follow. To add insult to injury the unholy alliance then agreed to increase the tax by 3%, with the Labour chairman not only voting in favour of the increase at the first vote, but then using his casting vote to force through the tax rise when the vote was tied at 7 all, I guess leopards never change their spots.

Benjamin Franklin was right about death and taxes, especially if you vote Labour, Lib Dem or now as it appears Independent as well. Frome desperately needs a Conservative council to protect its citizens from the excesses of the IFF's, I think the people of Shepton will start to rue their decision last May as soon as the council tax bills start landing on the mat.

Saturday, 24 December 2011

The Political Advent Calender

Just in case you missed it, here are the entries for Matt Chorley's brilliant political advent calender, I hope you enjoy it, have a very Happy Christmas and I'll be back with my review of the year next week.

Day 1 Disaster at the Treasury Christmas lunch. The goose is cooked but the tax credits are still frozen
Day 2 Shoplifting row in the garden centre. Chris Huhne denies asking someone else to take the poinsettia
Day 3 Hokey-cokey falls into disarray in Nuttal household after David demands an in/out referendum
Day 4 Chocolate Grant Shapps says Mary & Joseph are squatting in stable. Moved to flat on other side of Bethlehem
Day 5 Disappointment in the Thurlbeck household when Santa insists he wasn't shown the "For Neville" email
Day 6 Cameron defends independence of No 10 carol service before launching into rendition of Jingle Bell Pottinger
Day 7 Mrs Lansley is so disappointed with her police drama box set that Andrew is forced to pause The Bill
Day 8 David Miliband unmoved by MI6 Choir's version of Silent Night but critics say it's an extraordinary rendition
Day 9 Lembit Opik dressed as a snow-covered Big Ben. Not the whole tower. Just the bell end!
Day 10 Disappointment as Molly and Arthur Letwin discover their letters to Santa in a bin
Day 11  Nick Clegg is privately seething, angry and furious that Cameron has organised the Secret Santa without him
Day 12  After realising he's misspelt his name in all his Christmas cards, Vince Cable insists he won't re-sign
Day 13 After No 10 Christmas lobby drinks last night, Clegg is astonished at 4am to find Cameron used the Vimto
Day 14 After his wife's reality TV escapades, John Bercow has signed up to spend Christmas living in a doll's house
Day 15 Steve Hilton, the PM’s guru. The only man happy to get just socks at Christmas
Day 16 Clegg uses his best French to tell Fillon he has 2 brothers, likes cats & invites him to "jouer au pingpong"
Day 17 Tom Watson tells Santa: “You're the first mafia boss who doesn't know he's running a Christmas enterprise”
Day 18 DEFRA staff keep tripping over baubles & tinsel on the floor in reception after Caroline Spelman sold their tree
Day 19 Mike Hancock pulling a cracker. How does he do it? Dirty dog.
Day 20 Sepp Blatter tells Mary & Joseph to ignore Herod's threat to slaughter son of God, by shaking hands
Day 21 Joni Mitchell comes out against government's planning reforms, saying Paradise has enough parking lots
Day 22 The Home Office Panto is cancelled after Theresa May makes a gang dispersal order against the Seven Dwarves
Day 23 Cameron apologises for cutting too much red tape after Santa's trousers fall down

Day 24 Commons nativity falls foul of Trades Descriptions Act when the Three Wise Men are played by Dave, Ed & Nick

Saturday, 17 December 2011

The New Sheriff Rides Into Town

2012 will be a tough year for sure, even the PM reckons it will be tougher than 2011 and just about everyone I know is preparing themselves for the worst. One thing on the horizon that has not had an awful lot of publicity so far is the fact that in 11 months time we will be going to the polls to elect our "chief of police", or Sheriff as they call them in America, ours will have the catchy title of Police and Crime Commissioner PCC for short.

At the moment, the strategic direction of the police force and its overall budget, including the bit we all pay through our council tax bill, is set by an organisation called the Police Authority, a body which I have just recently started to serve on. Currently the Avon and Somerset Police Authority is made up of elected members from the councils within the police district (Somerset, North Somerset, BANES, Bristol and South Gloucestershire) with the addition of independent members to make up the committee.

As of November 2012 this body will disappear and it will be replaced by one person, the elected PCC, this elected individual will set the priorities of the force, he or she will decide on the budget, including the amount we will all pay, and will have the power to appoint or fire the Chief Constable. With that amount of responsibility, you would have thought it would be vital to have someone of considerable knowledge and experience in place to ensure that these important decisions are taken in a responsible manner, however it seems like we might be in for a celeb bun fight in a number of force areas if the recent rumour mill is anything to go by.

In addition to a number of washed up ex Labour ministers who seem to want to get in on the action, it is rumoured that Tony Robinson, Labour luvvie and actor, may be throwing his hat into the ring in Avon and Somerset, Carol Vorderman, Celeb and Maths whizz is also reported to be interested and Katie Price AKA Jordan is apparently going to stand in Hampshire.

Now I'm sure this trio, and any others in the background, have plenty of redeeming features, but in control of our police force?

Just what is Katie Price going to bring to the table? Perhaps she is going to paint all the police cars shocking pink and introduce new regulations for the control of Door Staff at Clubs and Pubs otherwise known as "bouncers", Tony Robinson is bound to have a few ideas to put forward for the police plan, most of them a cunning as a fox with a degree in cunning from the university of cunning, and Carol V shouldn't have too much trouble with the half a billion pound budget!! But seriously, this is a huge job, and it will require an individual with remarkable qualities to carry it out, surely it is far too important to be put in the hands of celebrities with no experience at all?

Well we will soon know, over the next 6 months or so, the selections from the various political parties will start their campaigns, alongside I'm sure a number of very able independent candidates, I only hope the public use their common sense and vote in someone who can do the job, rather than someone who has been famous on TV for five minutes.

Wednesday, 14 December 2011

The Cameron Bounce is confirmed

Over the weekend I blogged about David Cameron's use of the Veto at the Euro summit last week, and how I thought that he had done exactly the right thing for both the government and the country, I also spoke about how the chattering classes, especially auntie BBC, had started to have palpitations at the thought that we might take a couple of steps backwards from Europe, there were claims that this would be a "disaster darling", that we would be sidelined, that no-one in Europe would love us anymore (not that they did in the first place), and how this was going to be terribly bad for all of us.

In my view that lot is utter nonsense, Europe needs our billions in subsidy and our buying power (we buy a lot more from Europe that they do from us) an awful lot more than we need them, and Cameron needs to stick to his guns and make sure we get a deal on our terms.

It now seems that the great British public also loves Cameron's bulldog spirit, the four opinion polls that have been carried out since last Thursday's summit show that the Conservatives have either moved level with Labour or in two cases show a 2% lead for the Tories.

If these polls were translated into a general election it would mean that Labour would have lost 600,000 voters in less than a week, while the Conservatives have gained just over two million, and Europe has become the third most important issue in the minds of the public.

In addition the old three headed Lib Dem snake has reared its heads all over again, on Friday last week the Cleggmeister announced he had agreed the stance that Cameron was to take, and that he was happy with the outcome, by Sunday after getting stick from his Europhile colleagues he was deeply disappointed in the outcome and it would be "bad for Britain", then last night he was giving his MP's a three line whip to get them to vote with the government on a motion that congratulated the PM on his mission, and confirmed the UK's position on the matter! His MP's promptly ignored him and abstained from the vote!!!

Is it any wonder the Lib Dems are in disarray when they take three different positions on one subject in four days?

PMQ's later on should be interesting to say the least!